ETH exhibits a strong uptrend on the 4H chart with bullish EMA alignments, positive momentum divergence, and breakout above key weekly pivots, supported by expanding volatility and positive ETH-BTC correlation amid favorable crypto market sentiment. Recommend entering long on pullbacks to 3650-3680 with aggressive sizing up to 5% portfolio risk, targeting 4000-4200 while maintaining tight stops below 3550 to manage volatility spikes.
Breakout confirmation or pullback to EMA
4000-4200
1:2.5
Below 3550 support
Close below 3500 on 4H
Swing trading with aggressive scaling on breakouts
3680
3550
4000
1:2.5
Key risks include a sudden BTC downturn dragging ETH lower due to high correlation, potentially invalidating the uptrend if prices break below 3500; contrarian views suggest overbought momentum could lead to a sharp correction if global risk-off sentiment emerges from macroeconomic news; alternative conditions like contracting volatility or failure at 3800 resistance might result in a bearish reversal; blind spots include ignoring potential regulatory news impacts on sentiment, interpreting the ascending triangle as a distribution pattern instead of accumulation.
Model: Calc618 TA Report|Analysis ID: 47bc6f56|Informational only. DYOR.